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Course 4 · Lesson 5

Statistics: Probability & Distributions

Statistics lets us understand data, measure uncertainty, and make predictions. Probability theory gives us the mathematical foundation for randomness and inference.

Key Concepts

Probability Basics

P(event) = favorable outcomes / total outcomes. P ranges from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). Complement rule: P(not A) = 1 − P(A). P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B) if independent.

Permutations & Combinations

Permutations count ordered arrangements: P(n,r) = n!/(n−r)!. Combinations count unordered selections: C(n,r) = n!/(r!(n−r)!). Use P when order matters, C when it doesn't.

Normal Distribution

Bell-shaped curve, symmetric around the mean μ. Standard deviation σ measures spread. The 68-95-99.7 rule: 68% of data within 1σ, 95% within 2σ, 99.7% within 3σ.

Statistical Inference

A sample statistic (x̄, mean) estimates a population parameter (μ). Larger samples give more reliable estimates. Hypothesis testing checks if results are due to chance.

Live Python Practice

Interactive Lab

Green = ±1σ (68%), Yellow = ±2σ (95%), Red = ±3σ (99.7%). Adjust μ and σ to explore.

Check Your Understanding

A bag has 4 red and 6 blue marbles. P(red) =

C(5,2) — choosing 2 from 5 — equals:

In a normal distribution, about 95% of data falls within:

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